Independiente 1-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
14%
5.81
X/X
11%
3.59
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.4 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
185 Passes 318
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.02.2024 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
01.10.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
16.04.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
10.07.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
20.03.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-1
AWAY Racing Club
1.82 xG 0.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
359 Passes 132
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 17
40 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Racing Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Independiente had 67% of the ball to Racing Club's 33%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente and 0.83 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Racing Club?

Independiente 1-1 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente 37%, draw 26%, Racing Club 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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