NE MetroStars 5-1 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.08/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.42
-9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
02.03.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-3 HT 2-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
18.09.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
03.07.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-3 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
18.09.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-1 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
19.07.2014 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars ran out comfortable winners over Adelaide Raiders 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders?

NE MetroStars 5-1 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 48%, draw 24%, Adelaide Raiders 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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