Sutherland Sharks 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 62%
-13% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
-58% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutherland Sharks
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.77 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 HT 1-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
04.05.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-3 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.06.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
05.03.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
10.07.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 HT 2-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
23.04.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-3 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden squeezed past Sutherland Sharks 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sutherland Sharks and 2.17 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Sutherland Sharks 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sutherland Sharks 27%, draw 25%, Rockdale Ilinden 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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