Uni. Catolica 3-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.86/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.50
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.5 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Manta
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2021 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
27.02.2021 Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 3-0 Manta Manta EKV1
23.11.2014 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
04.05.2014 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
01.03.2014 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-0
AWAY Manta
3.47 xG 0.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
416 Passes 212
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 2
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica swept aside Manta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 61% of the ball to Manta's 39%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.47 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Manta.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Manta?

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 63%, draw 23%, Manta 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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