Orlando Pirates 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 39%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +34%
0.81/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.79
-66% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.8 Crosses 10.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
248 Passes 325
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 2-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
01.06.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
17.02.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
07.10.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
20.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
04.02.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.37 xG 2.26
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
173 Passes 493
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 25
4 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates edged past Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Orlando Pirates found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 29% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 71%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.37 to 2.26 — on chances, Mamelodi Sundowns could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.33 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Orlando Pirates 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 38%, draw 31%, Mamelodi Sundowns 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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