FC Oss 0-2 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.84
1/2
6%
20.85
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
7%
10.3
X/2
17%
4.23
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.03
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
0.97/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.03
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
16.0 Crosses 21.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
0W-1D-5L
AWAY De Graafschap
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.10 xG 2.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 4-0 HT 4-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
29.10.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOK
01.03.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
01.12.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
14.04.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 3-3 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
28.10.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
0-2
AWAY De Graafschap
1.31 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Graafschap saw off FC Oss 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Oss had 56% of the ball to De Graafschap's 44%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Oss and 2.67 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs De Graafschap?

FC Oss 0-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 28%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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