De Graafschap 4-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.66
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.3
X/1
17%
3.64
X/2
8%
18.35
X/X
8%
8.35
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
6%
13.25
2/X
5%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
De Graafschap win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.99/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.66
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
26.1 Crosses 14.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Oss
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.07 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
429 Passes 228
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOK
01.03.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
01.12.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
14.04.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 3-3 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
28.10.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.04.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
4-0
AWAY FC Oss
3.68 xG 0.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 5
482 Passes 251
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
58 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH De Graafschap vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Graafschap ran out comfortable winners over FC Oss 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, De Graafschap had 63% of the ball to FC Oss's 37%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.68 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for De Graafschap and 1.17 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs FC Oss?

De Graafschap 4-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 60%, draw 21%, FC Oss 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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