Gornik Leczna 0-1 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.80
+4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
16.12.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
28.07.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
13.03.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
01.09.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
14.08.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
0-1
AWAY Arka Gdynia
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia edged past Gornik Leczna 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 50% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gornik Leczna and 0.50 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Arka Gdynia?

Gornik Leczna 0-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 26%, draw 27%, Arka Gdynia 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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