Pogon Siedlce 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.65
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
27.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
29.07.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
09.11.2019 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-2 HT 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0-0
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce and Stal Stalowa Wola fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 49% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 51%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.25 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Pogon Siedlce 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 36%, draw 26%, Stal Stalowa Wola 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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