Düzcespor 1-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.64
Over 2.5
32%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düzcespor EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.68/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.66
-60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +120%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düzcespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 Tokat Bld Plevnespor Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-2 HT 1-0 Düzcespor Düzcespor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düzcespor
1-0
AWAY Tokat Bld Plevnespor
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Düzcespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düzcespor squeezed past Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Düzcespor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Düzcespor had 43% of the ball to Tokat Bld Plevnespor's 57%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Düzcespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

Düzcespor 1-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düzcespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düzcespor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Düzcespor 50%, draw 30%, Tokat Bld Plevnespor 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Düzcespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Düzcespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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