Karşıyaka 4-0 Ergene Velimeşe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
35%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Karşıyaka win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-3.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karşıyaka EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 12%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.79
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karşıyaka
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ergene Velimeşe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 1-0 HT 0-0 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka S3-1
25.02.2024 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 2-2 HT 1-0 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karşıyaka
4-0
AWAY Ergene Velimeşe
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karşıyaka vs Ergene Velimeşe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karşıyaka swept aside Ergene Velimeşe 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karşıyaka as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Karşıyaka had 48% of the ball to Ergene Velimeşe's 52%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ergene Velimeşe led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karşıyaka and 1.50 for Ergene Velimeşe.

What was the final score of Karşıyaka vs Ergene Velimeşe?

Karşıyaka 4-0 Ergene Velimeşe in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karşıyaka vs Ergene Velimeşe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karşıyaka win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Karşıyaka 68%, draw 18%, Ergene Velimeşe 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karşıyaka), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karşıyaka) ✓ BTTS No
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