Kuşadasıspor 1-1 Bursaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.2pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-9.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuşadasıspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursaspor EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuşadasıspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bursaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Bursaspor Bursaspor 4-1 HT 0-0 Kuşadasıspor Kuşadasıspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Kuşadasıspor vs Bursaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuşadasıspor and Bursaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bursaspor at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Kuşadasıspor vs Bursaspor?

Kuşadasıspor 1-1 Bursaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuşadasıspor vs Bursaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kuşadasıspor 15%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bursaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bursaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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