Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.35
-37% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.5 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
449 Passes 232
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
19.10.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
21.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
17.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
02.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
22.10.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
1-1
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.23 xG 0.45
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
488 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava and Spartak Trnava couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Bratislava at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 66% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 34%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.23 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.83 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 42%, draw 31%, Spartak Trnava 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✓ BTTS Yes
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