NK Bravo 3-3 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.34/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Bravo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Domzale
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-3 HT 0-3 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
15.09.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
07.04.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-3 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
10.02.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-3 HT 0-2 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
30.09.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 3-2 HT 2-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
30.07.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Bravo
3-3
AWAY Domzale
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NK Bravo vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo and Domzale shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was NK Bravo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, NK Bravo had 59% of the ball to Domzale's 41%, shots finished 22-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Bravo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NK Bravo and 1.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of NK Bravo vs Domzale?

NK Bravo 3-3 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Bravo vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NK Bravo 46%, draw 29%, Domzale 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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