Maribor 4-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Koper
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
15.09.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
19.05.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
17.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
06.12.2023 Koper Koper 3-3 HT 2-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
24.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
4-2
AWAY Koper
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Maribor vs Koper
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Maribor beat Koper 4-2 in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16 Mar 2025. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Maribor had 54% of the ball to Koper's 46%, shots finished 15-14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maribor and 1.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Koper?

Maribor 4-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maribor 45%, draw 26%, Koper 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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