Ankara Demirspor 1-0 Elazığspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/2.01
-39% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Elazığspor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.11.2024 Elazığspor Elazığspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
10.11.2019 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S2-K
25.09.2013 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor TÜK
27.09.2012 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-0
AWAY Elazığspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Elazığspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor edged past Elazığspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elazığspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 47% of the ball to Elazığspor's 53%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Elazığspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 1.50 for Elazığspor.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Elazığspor?

Ankara Demirspor 1-0 Elazığspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Elazığspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 28%, draw 25%, Elazığspor 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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