Somaspor 1-2 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 55%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.88
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.11.2024 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 3-1 HT 1-1 Somaspor Somaspor T2L-K
27.11.2021 Somaspor Somaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
1-2
AWAY Van Spor FK
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK edged past Somaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Somaspor had 46% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 54%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Somaspor and 1.50 for Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Van Spor FK?

Somaspor 1-2 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 18%, draw 33%, Van Spor FK 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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