Van Spor FK 3-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.96/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.48
-44% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Somaspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.11.2021 Somaspor Somaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK saw off Somaspor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Somaspor?

Van Spor FK 3-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 53%, draw 26%, Somaspor 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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