Nazilli Belediyespor 2-2 Diyarbekir Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 25%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+55% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 0-2 HT 0-1 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
18.11.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 HT 0-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-B
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nazilli Belediyespor and Diyarbekir Spor shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nazilli Belediyespor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nazilli Belediyespor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 0.50 for Diyarbekir Spor.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Nazilli Belediyespor 2-2 Diyarbekir Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nazilli Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 50%, draw 24%, Diyarbekir Spor 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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