68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.10/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
07.10.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-0 HT 0-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
3-1
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor saw off Arnavutköy Belediye 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 46% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 54%, shots finished 4-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor and 0.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 49%, draw 27%, Arnavutköy Belediye 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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