Elazığspor 3-2 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.65
+100% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +95%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2019 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S2-K
25.09.2013 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor TÜK
27.09.2012 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor TÜK
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor squeezed past Ankara Demirspor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elazığspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elazığspor and 1.00 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Elazığspor 3-2 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 48%, draw 23%, Ankara Demirspor 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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