03/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
28%
Draw
21%
20%
Away Win
14%
55%
Under 2.5
48%
45%
Over 2.5
52%
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
52%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Menemen FK v Erbaaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Menemen FK
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Erbaaspor
EU Bookmakers 17%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-28%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+20%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+49%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
476 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
228 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Menemen FK saw off Erbaaspor 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Menemen FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor?
Menemen FK 2-0 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Menemen FK 52%, draw 28%, Erbaaspor 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Menemen FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Menemen FK)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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T2L-K
More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
3 Nov 2024