ES Rades 2-3 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Mar 2025

ES Rades
2-3
AS Ariana
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

ES Rades vs AS Ariana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Rades v AS Ariana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Rades EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

ES Rades vs AS Ariana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Rades
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Ariana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
23.11.2024 AS Ariana 1-0 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2

ES Rades 2-3 AS Ariana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Rades
2-3
AWAY AS Ariana
53% Ball Possession 47%
27 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ES Rades vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana squeezed past ES Rades 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; AS Ariana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Rades had 53% of the ball to AS Ariana's 47%, shots finished 27-12.

What was the final score of ES Rades vs AS Ariana?

ES Rades 2-3 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Rades vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ES Rades 32%, draw 32%, AS Ariana 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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