Hammam-Lif 3-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.46
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Lif
1W-0D-1L
AWAY EM Mahdia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.11.2024 EM Mahdia 2-1 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN2
25.12.2022 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 2-1 HT 2-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Lif
3-0
AWAY EM Mahdia
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Lif cruised past EM Mahdia 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammam-Lif as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hammam-Lif had 64% of the ball to EM Mahdia's 36%, shots finished 30-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammam-Lif and 1.50 for EM Mahdia.

What was the final score of Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia?

Hammam-Lif 3-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Lif win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Lif 47%, draw 26%, EM Mahdia 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammam-Lif), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammam-Lif) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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