UCV 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

UCV
1-1 HT 1-1
Carabobo
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

UCV vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.91
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.3 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

UCV vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
216 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2024 UCV UCV 3-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
10.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
07.07.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
06.05.2023 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 4-0 HT 3-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2022 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN

UCV 1-1 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
0.33 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
333 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Carabobo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 52% of the ball to Carabobo's 48%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.33 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UCV and 1.17 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of UCV vs Carabobo?

UCV 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UCV 40%, draw 31%, Carabobo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCV), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
16 Mar 2025
00:45 Academia Anzoátegui vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →