Monza U20 1-3 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.53
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-10.0pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.05/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.68
+45% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +119%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza U20
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Cesena U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2025 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
15.03.2025 Monza U20 Monza U20 1-2 HT 1-0 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 İTAPŞ1
25.10.2024 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 2-2 HT 1-0 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena U20 saw off Monza U20 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 39% — and on the day Cesena U20 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cesena U20 led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monza U20 and 1.33 for Cesena U20.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Cesena U20?

Monza U20 1-3 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 26%, draw 36%, Cesena U20 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena U20), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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