Fiorentina U20 1-1 Roma U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.09/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.20/0.89
+36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Roma U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.05.2025 Roma U20 Roma U20 1-2 HT 1-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
10.02.2025 Roma U20 Roma U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
30.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Roma U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 0.67 for Roma U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-1 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 38%, draw 30%, Roma U20 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ BTTS Yes
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