Roma U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 36%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
-41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Roma U20 Roma U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
30.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 squeezed past Roma U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Roma U20 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Roma U20 and 2.00 for Fiorentina U20.

What was the final score of Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Roma U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roma U20 47%, draw 27%, Fiorentina U20 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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