Cuiaba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Cuiaba
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Cuiaba 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba nicked a narrow win over Atletico Paranaense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Cuiaba made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cuiaba had 49% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.01 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cuiaba and 1.83 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Atletico Paranaense?
Cuiaba 2-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 32%, draw 31%, Atletico Paranaense 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.