Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aucas
EKV1
4-1
HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas nicked a narrow win over Uni. Catolica 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Aucas found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Aucas had 43% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 57%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.05 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aucas and 1.50 for Uni. Catolica.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Uni. Catolica?
Aucas 2-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Uni. Catolica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aucas 38%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.