Saipa 1-0 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.44
Over 2.5
44%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.34
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
66%
-9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
34%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.6pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.38/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.21
-2% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shahre Raz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.05.2024 Saipa Saipa 2-1 HT 1-1 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz IRANAZ
29.11.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Shahre Raz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saipa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saipa and 0.50 for Shahre Raz.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Shahre Raz?

Saipa 1-0 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Saipa 52%, draw 32%, Shahre Raz 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRANAZ More Iran - Azadegan League
16 Apr 2025
15:30 Mes Soongoun vs Naft Masjed Soleyman Analysis →
16:00 Paykan Qazvin vs SC Damash Gilanian Analysis →
16:00 Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran Analysis →
18:30 Sanat Naft vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Analysis →