Kairat 4-0 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.81
No
49%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.8pp
49%
BTTS No
68%
-19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
2.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.57
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
504 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atyrau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 1-4 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
10.11.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
08.05.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 3-1 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
04.05.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
29.10.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
07.06.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat swept aside Atyrau 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kairat and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Atyrau?

Kairat 4-0 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kairat 63%, draw 22%, Atyrau 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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