Al Hazm 2-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.45/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.64
+39% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
03.12.2024 Arabi 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
11.01.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 3-0 HT 2-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
2-1
AWAY Arabi
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm nicked a narrow win over Arabi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hazm as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 54% of the ball to Arabi's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Hazm and 1.50 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Arabi?

Al Hazm 2-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 55%, draw 20%, Arabi 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✓ Over 2.5
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