Al Safa 2-2 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

Al Safa
2-2 HT 2-0
Abha
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abha
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
2-2
AWAY Abha
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 28
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa and Abha couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Abha at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 36% of the ball to Abha's 64%, shots finished 10-28.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Abha?

Al Safa 2-2 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 24%, draw 25%, Abha 51%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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