Real Esteli 2-4 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Apr 2026

Real Esteli
2-4 HT 1-3
Walter Ferretti
📅16/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-2.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.5pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Esteli v Walter Ferretti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
2.28/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.90
+0% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2026 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-4 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
28.11.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
03.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.08.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
10.03.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.01.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti saw off Real Esteli 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Real Esteli carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Esteli and 0.17 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti?

Real Esteli 2-4 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 72%, draw 16%, Walter Ferretti 12%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Esteli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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