Walter Ferretti 0-4 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.11/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.40
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
206 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.11.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
03.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.08.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
10.03.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.01.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
15.12.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli cruised past Walter Ferretti 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.17 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Walter Ferretti 0-4 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 27%, draw 23%, Real Esteli 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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