Rancho Santana 1-3 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.67/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.41
+16% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-1 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.08.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
30.03.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
03.02.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
08.11.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-3 HT 2-2 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
02.09.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
1-3
AWAY UNAN Managua
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua saw off Rancho Santana 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 36% — and on the day UNAN Managua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 52% of the ball to UNAN Managua's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rancho Santana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.00 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua?

Rancho Santana 1-3 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rancho Santana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 41%, draw 22%, UNAN Managua 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rancho Santana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rancho Santana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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