Diriangen 0-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+1.4pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +2%
2.68/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.29
+22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 5-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.11.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 5-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
24.08.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.01.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
0-1
AWAY Export Sebaco
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past Diriangen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Diriangen at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diriangen had 69% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 31%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Diriangen and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Diriangen 0-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 74%, draw 16%, Export Sebaco 11%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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