Export Sebaco 2-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
59%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
19%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
59%
Away Win
57%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.94/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.01
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Diriangen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
26.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
10.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.12.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past Diriangen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Diriangen carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.83 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Export Sebaco 2-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 16%, draw 25%, Diriangen 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriangen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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