Export Sebaco 0-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 53%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.65/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.88
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Diriangen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 5-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
24.08.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.01.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
26.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Export Sebaco
0-1
AWAY Diriangen
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen edged past Export Sebaco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Export Sebaco had 43% of the ball to Diriangen's 57%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.00 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Export Sebaco 0-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 27%, draw 24%, Diriangen 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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