Managua 1-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
2.20/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Managua Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
25.08.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
14.04.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-1 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
17.02.2025 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
02.12.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-5 HT 1-3 Managua Managua NİK
17.11.2024 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
1-1
AWAY Matagalpa
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
FAQ Managua vs Matagalpa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Managua and Matagalpa shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16 Feb 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Managua had 45% of the ball to Matagalpa's 55%, shots finished 15-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Managua and 1.33 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Matagalpa?

Managua 1-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Managua 52%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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