Young Boys 3-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.09
2-3 Goals
37%
2.32
4-5 Goals
28%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
7%
4.78
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
15%
6.93
2/1
7%
18.3
2/2
9%
5.76
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.9pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.05/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.49
+65% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
24.2 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Gallen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
284 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
09.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
27.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
06.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
12.02.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
08.10.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
3-1
AWAY St. Gallen
1.77 xG 1.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 6
304 Passes 159
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 14
42 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys got the better of St. Gallen 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 62% of the ball to St. Gallen's 38%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.77 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Young Boys 3-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 48%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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