Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.66/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.91
-56% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -50%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.68 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
311 Passes 162
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
09.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
23.07.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pereira 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.67 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Cup on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 52%, draw 23%, Deportivo Pereira 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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