Alajuelense 1-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.08
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
243 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
29.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY CS Herediano
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over CS Herediano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 55% of the ball to CS Herediano's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alajuelense and 1.17 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Alajuelense 1-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 44%, draw 27%, CS Herediano 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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