16/05/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Fana vs Ardal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
28%
Draw
9%
10%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fana v Ardal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fana
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ardal
EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
4.51/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/3.01
+35%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
+3%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
396 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fana vs Ardal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fana swept aside Ardal 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fana as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Fana vs Ardal?
Fana 5-0 Ardal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fana vs Ardal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fana win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fana 61%, draw 28%, Ardal 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fana)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
16 May 2024