Fram Larvik 1-2 Pors Grenland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Larvik EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Larvik
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pors Grenland
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.09.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-2 HT 2-1 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
18.06.2022 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 3-2 HT 0-1 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
POST-MATCH Fram Larvik vs Pors Grenland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland nicked a narrow win over Fram Larvik 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pors Grenland found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fram Larvik had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fram Larvik and 2.00 for Pors Grenland.

What was the final score of Fram Larvik vs Pors Grenland?

Fram Larvik 1-2 Pors Grenland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Larvik vs Pors Grenland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fram Larvik 35%, draw 27%, Pors Grenland 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pors Grenland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pors Grenland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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