Froya 1-2 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
54%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Froya EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 71%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.08/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.61
-35% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Froya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bjarg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Corners 7
19.08.2023 Bjarg Bjarg 1-0 HT 0-0 Froya Froya NOR4
10.04.2023 Froya Froya 1-1 HT 0-1 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
POST-MATCH Froya vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg edged past Froya 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bjarg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Froya and 1.00 for Bjarg.

What was the final score of Froya vs Bjarg?

Froya 1-2 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Froya vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Froya 26%, draw 20%, Bjarg 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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