Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.8
Over
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.74
No
54%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.96
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.64
6+
9%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.69
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
11%
5.46
X/2
13%
5.79
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
4.03
2/X
8%
13.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Walsall The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield The Market 38%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.40 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.07
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.96
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
375 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 66%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
153 Passes 468
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
15.02.2025 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.10.2024 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.03.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
16.08.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
12.03.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-4 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-1
AWAY Chesterfield
1.85 xG 1.74
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
93 Passes 498
57% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Walsall vs Chesterfield
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Walsall squeezed past Chesterfield 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Walsall made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Walsall had 24% of the ball to Chesterfield's 76%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.85 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Walsall and 1.00 for Chesterfield.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Result & Final Score

Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Walsall 35%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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