Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.8
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.74
No
50%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.0
2-3
43%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.5
6+
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.05
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
21%
4.96
X/2
13%
6.71
X/X
7%
4.5
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.88
2/X
9%
13.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Walsall The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield The Market 32%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.75 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.95
0.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 66%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.6 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 0.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
137 Passes 461
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
05.10.2024 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.03.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
16.08.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
12.03.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-4 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
15.12.2015 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
05.12.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
3-1
AWAY Chesterfield
1.12 xG 1.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
205 Passes 396
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Walsall vs Chesterfield
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Walsall saw off Chesterfield 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Walsall had 38% of the ball to Chesterfield's 62%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.12 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 1.00 for Chesterfield.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Result & Final Score

Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Walsall 46%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5
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