Chesterfield vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesterfield v Walsall — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Walsall
İN1
1-4
HT 1-1
Walsall
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
FAK
1-1
HT 0-1
Walsall
FAK
1-2
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İN1
Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield and Walsall shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Chesterfield had 70% of the ball to Walsall's 30%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.61 to 2.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chesterfield and 1.17 for Walsall.
What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Walsall?
Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Walsall?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 43%, draw 25%, Walsall 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.